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Detroit Ceasefire: Final Evaluation Report

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dc.contributor.author Circo, Giovanni
dc.contributor.author McGarrell, Edmund F.
dc.contributor.author Krupa, Julie M.
dc.contributor.author De Biasi, Alaina
dc.date.accessioned 2020-04-13T14:09:56Z
dc.date.available 2020-04-13T14:09:56Z
dc.date.issued 2018-12
dc.identifier.citation Circo, Giovanni; McGarrell, Edmund F.; Krupa, Julie M.; De Biasi, Alaina. (2018). Detroit Ceasefire: Final Evaluation Report. Michigan Justice Statistics Center. en_US
dc.identifier.uri https://jrsa.org/pubs/sac-digest/vol-29/mi-detroit-ceasefire.pdf
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11990/1751
dc.description Report en_US
dc.description.abstract Detroit Ceasefire has been a cornerstone of Detroit’s violence reduction strategies. Ceasefire involves a focused deterrence model aimed at gang- and group- related violence. It involves direct communication of a deterrence message to high-risk individuals and groups, targeted enforcement and response to violent incidents, outreach and services, community partnerships and youth prevention…This report describes the planning, development, initial implementation, and full implementation of Ceasefire and places the initiative in the context of national trends. This is followed by evaluation results at both the community and individual levels. Key findings include: • Detroit has experienced a significant decline in fatal and non-fatal shootings since the implementation of Ceasefire in 2013 and particularly since 2015 when Ceasefire received the support of a project management team and associated capacity building that strengthened implementation of the Ceasefire focused deterrence model. • These trends are particularly impressive when contrasted with national trends in violent crime and with trends in other large Midwestern cities. • The evaluation employed a state-of-the-art “synthetic control” design that compares trends in the Ceasefire precincts with comparable parts of the city that have not participated in Ceasefire. For the original east side Ceasefire precincts, we estimate an overall 13-14 percent decline in fatal and non-fatal shootings. For the specific age group of 15-24, the primary target for Ceasefire, the decline was 22 percent. • The trends in the West side precincts are more difficult to interpret. Simply observing the trends suggest declines following the implementation of Ceasefire. Yet, when using the synthetic controls we do not find evidence of declines. We suggest continued monitoring of the West side precincts to provide a longer implementation and observation period (as well as assessment of trends in the more recent 4th and 7th Ceasefire precincts). • Although Ceasefire clients had a very similar time until re-arrest as a matched comparison group of probationers and parolees, the Ceasefire clients had 23 percent fewer overall arrests and 23 percent fewer arrests for a violent offense. Ceasefire clients did have more arrests for weapons offenses but this may reflect increased scrutiny and surveillance of Ceasefire clients, particularly when they or their associates are involved in violence. (Author Abstract) en_US
dc.description.sponsorship This project was supported by Grant No. 2012-PB-FX-K002 awarded by the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention. Additional support for the criminal history research of this project was provided by Grant No. 2017-BJ-CX-K020 awarded by the Bureau of Justice Statistics. en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher Michigan Justice Statistics Center en_US
dc.subject Evaluation en_US
dc.subject Conceptual Model en_US
dc.subject Program Evaluation en_US
dc.subject Adolescent en_US
dc.subject Youth en_US
dc.subject Teen en_US
dc.subject Young Adult en_US
dc.subject Urban en_US
dc.subject Police en_US
dc.subject Crime Reporting en_US
dc.subject Law Enforcement en_US
dc.subject Juvenile Court en_US
dc.subject Violent Crime en_US
dc.subject Homicide en_US
dc.subject Murder en_US
dc.subject Gun Violence en_US
dc.subject Gun Death en_US
dc.subject Firearm Violence en_US
dc.subject Shooting en_US
dc.subject Weapons en_US
dc.subject Gang Crime en_US
dc.subject Gang Violence en_US
dc.subject Community Violence en_US
dc.subject Street Violence en_US
dc.subject Non-fatal Shooting en_US
dc.subject Group Violence en_US
dc.subject Deterrence en_US
dc.subject Violence Reduction en_US
dc.title Detroit Ceasefire: Final Evaluation Report en_US
dc.type Other en_US


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